Berrón vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TIN
1 - 1
BER
40%
25%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BER
2 - 2
LLA
37%
24%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
AST
3 - 0
BER
45%
24%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BER
2 - 0
CAN
42%
25%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
COL
2 - 0
BER
56%
22%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 1
TUR
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
NAL
1 - 2
UCO
48%
23%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 2
UNI
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
AST
4 - 1
UCO
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 1
AVI
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |