Berrón vs Mosconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
VCD
1 - 3
BER
66%
20%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BER
6 - 0
COL
57%
22%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
REA
3 - 1
BER
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BER
2 - 3
AST
45%
25%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
BER
53%
23%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mosconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 1
LLA
65%
21%
14%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
MOS
21%
23%
55%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
15%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 1
VCD
54%
25%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
MOS
10%
19%
71%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |