Chateauroux vs Stade Lavallois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCG
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 2
BRU
18%
24%
59%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
LMU
0 - 2
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 1
REI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LUS
3 - 1
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
STL
1 - 0
GUI
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
STL
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
STL
1 - 2
ASN
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
LHA
1 - 1
STL
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
STL
0 - 0
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |