Chateauroux vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
LHA
2 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
SOC
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
NIO
0 - 1
CHA
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FON
2 - 3
CHA
10%
18%
72%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
MET
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
STL
0 - 2
PAU
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LES
1 - 3
PAU
9%
20%
71%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
PAU
3 - 0
DRA
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
BOU
1 - 0
PAU
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
PAU
3 - 1
USB
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |