Chateauroux vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
LYO
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 1
CHA
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 5
SPI
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
STA
0 - 0
CHA
9%
15%
76%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
CHA
27%
27%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 1
CHA
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
PAU
60%
24%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 0
TAR
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 1
DUN
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
BEZ
0 - 2
PAU
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |