Chateauroux vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
46%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
CHA
1 - 0
SED
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 2
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
CHA
1 - 0
STL
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
AMI
3 - 0
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
CHA
0 - 1
AJA
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
LYO
0 - 2
MPL
61%
22%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
MON
0 - 1
LYO
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
LYO
2 - 2
LOR
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
TFC
0 - 0
LYO
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1998 |
BRU
3 - 4
LYO
57%
23%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |