Chateauroux vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
16º
17º
36
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 48 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 47 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 32 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 30 |
17º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 83.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
57% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
CHA
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
GOB
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
VER
1 - 0
CHA
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
LMU
34%
26%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CON
3 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SPI
2 - 4
ASN
20%
21%
59%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
ASN
1 - 2
GOB
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
LMU
0 - 4
ASN
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ASN
12 - 0
DIE
85%
11%
5%
|
66 | 7 | 59 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 1
ASN
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |