Chateauroux vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
AMI
0 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
NÎM
0 - 1
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 1
NIO
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
FCM
1 - 0
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
FCL
2 - 0
CHA
23%
24%
52%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 1
LHA
49%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
ASB
0 - 1
ASN
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 1
NÎM
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
NIO
0 - 0
ASN
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 0
ASN
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |