Chateauroux vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
54.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
CLE
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LMU
0 - 1
CHA
55%
26%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 2
CHA
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
MET
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
STL
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MPL
1 - 0
BRE
61%
24%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
MPL
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 1
MPL
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MPL
1 - 0
LYO
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MEZ
0 - 4
MPL
7%
15%
78%
|
83 | 13 | 70 | 0 |