Chateauroux vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
DIJ
2 - 0
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHA
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 1
REI
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
FCL
0 - 1
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
MET
2 - 1
TOU
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
GUI
0 - 2
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
MET
2 - 0
LUS
60%
25%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
NIO
1 - 1
MET
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
MET
2 - 1
MPL
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |