Chateauroux vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 3
GRE
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
TRO
5 - 5
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 1
DIJ
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MPL
0 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 0
STL
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
LOR
3 - 0
BRE
59%
23%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 2
LOR
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 0
LHA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
FCG
2 - 1
LOR
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 2
LMU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |