Chateauroux vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
SED
2 - 0
CHA
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
VAL
3 - 0
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
ASB
0 - 1
CHA
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
ASN
61%
24%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 1
LOR
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
LHA
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
FCG
1 - 1
LOR
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 0
REI
67%
22%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |