Chateauroux vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
IST
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LMU
2 - 0
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
SED
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 3
GIR
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
ANG
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
GUI
4 - 3
NIO
67%
20%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
GUI
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
LHA
0 - 1
GUI
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUI
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |