Chateauroux vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 2
BRU
18%
24%
59%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
LMU
0 - 2
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 1
REI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LUS
3 - 1
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
BRU
4 - 0
CHA
73%
18%
10%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
FCG
0 - 0
SED
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 0
FCG
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
FCG
1 - 0
GRE
50%
27%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
LHA
0 - 1
FCG
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
FCG
1 - 1
STL
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |