Chateauroux vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 3
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 0
SED
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
STR
1 - 2
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
CLE
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 1
AJA
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
DIJ
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAE
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
NAN
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SED
2 - 0
CAE
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 1
GIR
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |