Chateauroux vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
MPL
1 - 3
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 0
NIO
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
MET
2 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 1
DIJ
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 0
CHA
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
FCG
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
LUS
4 - 3
CAE
24%
25%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
CAE
0 - 1
GRE
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 0
CAE
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 2
STR
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |