Chateauroux vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LUS
2 - 2
CHA
34%
28%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ASB
1 - 1
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 1
ASN
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
AMI
0 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
NÎM
0 - 1
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 2
ASB
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ASN
3 - 3
CAE
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 0
NÎM
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
NIO
2 - 0
CAE
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
CAE
2 - 1
STR
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |