Chateauroux vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
LMU
2 - 1
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
CHA
1 - 0
NIO
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
ESW
0 - 0
CHA
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1999 |
CHA
0 - 3
TFC
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
CSL
1 - 3
CHA
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 1
AJA
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
CAE
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
CAE
2 - 1
NÎM
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
STL
1 - 1
CAE
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 2
GUI
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |