Chateauroux vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LEN
4 - 3
CHA
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 1
GUI
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
IST
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LMU
2 - 0
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
ARL
0 - 1
NIO
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 1
ARL
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ARL
0 - 2
MON
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
ANG
2 - 0
ARL
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 0
GAZ
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |