Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
11º
11º
30
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
LSO
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LPL
1 - 2
BER
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
LSO
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
4 - 1
BER
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 0
CSK
28%
28%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pirin Blagoevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
CVA
2 - 1
OFK
67%
22%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OFK
1 - 2
CSK
25%
28%
48%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VIH
0 - 1
OFK
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LUD
4 - 0
OFK
79%
14%
6%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
OFK
1 - 1
SSO
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |