Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
5º
34
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
SVA
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
BVR
2 - 0
BER
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BER
2 - 0
SEP
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
HEB
60%
23%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
LUD
2 - 1
BER
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pirin Blagoevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 0
BVR
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 0
OFK
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 1
HEB
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 1
OFK
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 4
BOT
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |