Beroe vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
8º
8º
17
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 61 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 43 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
51.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 18 |
16º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
64% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
35% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 1
BER
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LPL
0 - 0
BER
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
FLK
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 0
BER
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BER
0 - 0
ETA
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 6
LSO
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
BVR
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 1
FKM
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |