Europa League 1/32
Global 3-1
Beroe vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
CVA
4 - 1
BER
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
BER
4 - 1
SPA
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
FEN
0 - 1
BER
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
CSK
7 - 0
BER
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
BER
4 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
FEN
1 - 2
TRA
54%
28%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
FEN
0 - 1
BER
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
ADA
1 - 1
FEN
40%
31%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
FEN
1 - 1
ZON
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
ORD
0 - 1
FEN
42%
30%
28%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |