Beroe vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
CSK
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
CSK
1 - 0
BER
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
BER
5 - 1
SOZ
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
BER
1 - 0
LPL
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
BER
1 - 1
ARK
43%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BVR
0 - 0
CVA
28%
28%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CVA
1 - 1
SSO
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
DOB
0 - 2
CVA
9%
20%
72%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ARK
0 - 3
CVA
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
OFK
2 - 2
CVA
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |