Europa League 1/16
Global 3-1
Beroe vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.7%
16%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
ETA
2 - 2
BER
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
BER
1 - 0
LSO
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
AUS
1 - 3
BER
50%
22%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
SVA
0 - 4
BER
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
BER
0 - 3
LPL
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
PAR
0 - 3
BUD
67%
16%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
BUD
1 - 0
PAR
46%
21%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
MAC
2 - 0
BUD
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
BUD
0 - 1
MAC
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
BUD
3 - 1
ABE
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +2 |