Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
13º
13º
16
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 66 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 32 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 55.5% |
|
Next round
|
7% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
92.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
3 - 1
BER
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
LUD
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FLK
0 - 1
BER
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
LPL
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 2
BER
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SVA
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 1
BOT
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
ZRI
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |