Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Beroe vs Arka Gdynia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
BER
3 - 1
LSO
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
BER
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ARK
3 - 2
BER
55%
22%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
BER
4 - 3
LPL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
MAR
3 - 2
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ARK
3 - 2
BER
55%
22%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
STA
1 - 4
ARK
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
ARK
2 - 0
LPO
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
WLO
1 - 1
ARK
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
ARK
1 - 1
ZAW
56%
24%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |