Bern 1894 vs Zug 94 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
72.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 0
BER
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BER
0 - 3
MUN
11%
19%
70%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WAN
1 - 1
BER
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BER
2 - 0
THU
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
FCM
5 - 1
BER
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZUG
2 - 0
DEL
40%
23%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 2
ZUG
48%
22%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ZUG
0 - 1
BUO
57%
20%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SOL
2 - 1
ZUG
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
ZUG
2 - 4
SCH
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |