Bern 1894 vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 0
BER
77%
16%
7%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
WAN
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
THU
3 - 0
BER
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BER
0 - 1
FCM
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 1
BER
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 2
DEL
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
SOL
2 - 1
FCS
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 0
FCS
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FCS
4 - 1
BUO
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FCS
3 - 2
SCH
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |