Bern 1894 vs Dürrenast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LAU
3 - 1
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
POR
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BER
5 - 2
TPA
59%
22%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCE
1 - 3
BER
22%
23%
56%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BER
0 - 2
FCK
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUR
2 - 1
BUM
43%
24%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LER
1 - 0
DUR
49%
21%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCS
4 - 0
DUR
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
DUR
2 - 1
THI
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BUM
5 - 4
DUR
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |