Bern 1894 vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
THI
5 - 0
BER
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BER
3 - 0
GUM
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DUR
0 - 0
BER
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BER
3 - 1
LAU
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
BER
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 4
BAV
14%
20%
65%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAV
3 - 2
BUM
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LER
1 - 1
BAV
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
BAU
1 - 5
BAV
9%
17%
73%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BAV
3 - 2
FCS
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |