Bern 1894 vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
54.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BER
2 - 3
SEC
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
TPA
1 - 2
BER
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BAU
0 - 5
BER
11%
19%
70%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
BER
5 - 1
BUM
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
LER
3 - 0
BER
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 2
AAR
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 5
RSZ
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
KOS
3 - 4
AAR
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AAR
4 - 2
SUB
84%
10%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
DIE
2 - 2
AAR
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |