BFC Dynamo vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1976 |
ERF
1 - 3
BFC
41%
26%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
BFC
6 - 0
LOK
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
BSG
0 - 1
BFC
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
BFC
3 - 0
CZJ
48%
25%
28%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
HAL
0 - 2
BFC
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1976 |
ZWI
0 - 2
FVF
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
ZWI
2 - 0
ERF
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
LOK
2 - 1
ZWI
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
ZWI
1 - 0
BSG
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
AND
2 - 0
ZWI
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |