Qualif. Champions Final
Global 3-1
BFC Dynamo vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
ROS
1 - 1
BFC
12%
21%
67%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1981 |
ASS
1 - 1
BFC
31%
25%
44%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
BFC
4 - 2
CHE
88%
9%
4%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
BFC
2 - 1
CZJ
72%
16%
11%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1981 |
BSG
1 - 4
BFC
13%
22%
66%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1981 |
ASS
1 - 1
BFC
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1981 |
LEN
2 - 5
ASS
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 0
PSG
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1981 |
SOC
2 - 1
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1981 |
STR
2 - 0
ASS
34%
29%
37%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |