BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
14º
4º
33
2º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 71 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 68 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 62 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 55 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 53 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 49 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 34 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 3
BFC
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 0
CHE
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
BFC
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
HZE
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 0
BFC
22%
24%
55%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ERF
5 - 1
CHL
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MEU
1 - 0
ERF
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CZJ
5 - 1
ERF
67%
20%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ERF
4 - 2
ZWI
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
ERF
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |