BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
ROS
0 - 1
BFC
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
BFC
1 - 0
BSG
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
LOK
0 - 0
BFC
43%
25%
32%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
BFC
10 - 0
ZWI
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
FCU
0 - 4
BFC
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
CZJ
1 - 1
ERF
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 1
ROS
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
BSG
1 - 0
ERF
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 1
LOK
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
ZWI
1 - 0
ERF
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |