BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
LAS
0 - 2
BFC
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
BFC
4 - 2
BCZ
57%
19%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1959 |
CZJ
1 - 1
BFC
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1959 |
BFC
5 - 0
SED
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1959 |
SAC
0 - 3
BFC
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
ERF
1 - 4
LOK
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
ABS
6 - 0
ERF
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1959 |
ERF
0 - 0
BFW
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1959 |
ROS
2 - 0
ERF
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1959 |
VOW
3 - 2
ERF
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |