BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
46.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
ZWI
0 - 2
BFC
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1954 |
BFC
2 - 0
ROS
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
CHE
0 - 2
ERF
12%
20%
68%
|
84 | 32 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1954 |
ERF
0 - 2
ABS
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
ERF
2 - 0
BWA
59%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SGD
4 - 2
ERF
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ERF
2 - 1
BFM
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |