Europa League 1/16
Global 3-2
BFC Dynamo vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
CZJ
3 - 1
BFC
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
BFC
4 - 0
ROS
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
LOK
1 - 1
BFC
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
BFC
1 - 2
FCU
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
BFC
2 - 1
ANG
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
LSO
4 - 1
DUN
69%
18%
12%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
BER
1 - 0
LSO
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
LSO
5 - 1
UCL
60%
20%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
LSO
1 - 0
SPA
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |