Europa League 1/32
Global 1-4
BFC Dynamo vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
BFC
2 - 1
LOK
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
ROS
2 - 3
BFC
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
SHA
3 - 0
BFC
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
BFC
3 - 0
ERF
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
FCU
1 - 0
BFC
25%
27%
47%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
SHA
3 - 0
BFC
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |