Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-2
BFC Dynamo vs Dinamo Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
BFC
5 - 1
BWA
56%
23%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1972 |
CZJ
3 - 2
BFC
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1972 |
BFC
2 - 2
ATV
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1972 |
BFC
2 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
HAL
3 - 8
BFC
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1972 |
DIN
1 - 1
CRV
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1972 |
CRV
1 - 2
DIN
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
DIN
1 - 0
ESK
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
ESK
0 - 1
DIN
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1971 |
DIN
1 - 2
OLP
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |