BFC Dynamo vs Chemie Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
14º
4º
19
3º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 71 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 68 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 62 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 55 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 53 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 49 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 34 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MEU
2 - 2
BFC
26%
25%
50%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
SVE
0 - 7
BFC
6%
12%
82%
|
60 | 23 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
BAB
0 - 2
BFC
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 4
LIC
56%
21%
23%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
FCW
2 - 2
BFC
6%
12%
82%
|
60 | 21 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Chemie Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CHL
1 - 3
LUC
51%
24%
24%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CHL
5 - 0
SVG
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CHL
0 - 1
VFL
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BAB
3 - 1
CHL
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CZJ
5 - 0
CHL
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |