Berja vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CHU
1 - 2
BER
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BER
0 - 2
ALH
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BEG
2 - 1
BER
41%
23%
37%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
BER
3 - 1
CDV
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ORI
2 - 2
BER
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ARE
1 - 2
CEL
44%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
EST
4 - 3
ARE
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ARE
2 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ARE
3 - 1
ORI
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CDA
1 - 6
ARE
11%
18%
72%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |