Real Sociedad C vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SNT
2 - 0
RSO
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
RSO
2 - 1
LON
37%
29%
35%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BFC
1 - 0
RSO
45%
26%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
RSO
0 - 0
CDU
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
RSO
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 1
SOD
38%
26%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
BEA
0 - 2
TOL
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SNT
0 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 1
LON
28%
29%
43%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 5
RSO
7%
19%
74%
|
22 | 86 | 64 | 0 |