Real Sociedad C vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 1
PAS
46%
25%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CDV
0 - 1
RSO
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 0
SFC
43%
26%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
RSO
71%
19%
11%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
DEU
1 - 1
RSO
28%
25%
48%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GER
2 - 0
LON
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAS
2 - 0
GER
10%
19%
71%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -3 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GER
1 - 0
TOL
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CDV
2 - 0
GER
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CDU
1 - 3
GER
15%
21%
65%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |