Bergnäsets vs Älgarna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
8º
4º
9
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 64 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 61 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 48 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 48 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 44 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
73.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
86.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 27 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 26 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergnäsets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SKE
3 - 2
BER
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
KFF
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
FIF
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FIF
3 - 5
BER
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BER
4 - 2
TAF
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Älgarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IFA
1 - 3
OST
18%
18%
64%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
YIK
1 - 0
IFA
76%
13%
11%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
IFA
0 - 4
LUC
43%
21%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 1
IFA
47%
21%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
IFA
3 - 2
GIF
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +2 |