Bergisch Gladbach vs SpVg Porz 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
5º
31
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BER
3 - 4
SPO
70%
17%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 4
BER
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
BER
3 - 1
BGP
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 3
BER
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PES
4 - 1
BER
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SPV
4 - 1
FVE
33%
22%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SPI
3 - 1
SPV
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SPV
0 - 1
TMO
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
H05
3 - 0
SPV
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
BSC
0 - 0
SPV
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +1 |