Bergisch Gladbach vs Siegen Sportfreunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BER
3 - 0
DIE
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BER
2 - 2
WUP
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
BER
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +3 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BER
0 - 2
VEL
35%
24%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ROT
4 - 1
BER
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
S04
0 - 1
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 0
SPO
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
DIE
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
HUL
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
5 - 1
ROT
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |