Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
DIE
2 - 1
BER
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
AAA
26%
26%
48%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
S04
0 - 2
BER
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
WUP
2 - 0
BER
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BER
0 - 2
VFB
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
ROD
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
S04
4 - 1
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
ROT
18%
23%
59%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BOR
3 - 3
SPO
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
PRE
18%
25%
58%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |