Bergisch Gladbach vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
HUL
1 - 3
BER
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BER
2 - 3
KFC
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 4
BER
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BER
7 - 1
ERN
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
WHE
0 - 2
BER
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 1
VIK
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 1
RWA
10%
19%
71%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
RWA
1 - 3
WER
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
KFC
4 - 1
RWA
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 1
SWE
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |